论文总字数：21583字

摘 要

中国作为世界第一贸易大国,中国出口与世界市场紧密相关，此次次贷危机对全球市场造成严重冲击，中国出口首当其冲。

本文通过对次贷危机后近些年中国出口数据分析了中国对外出口所面临现状。依据2004-2014年我国工业制成品和我国服务贸易出口的数据，对我国出口商品结构进行比较分析。根据SITC国际贸易商品分类，对我国制造业的内部行业出口进行分析，研究危机前后各行业出口变化及竞争力指数变化。研究表明：我国在目前出口整体增速下降，出口压力增大。在商品出口结构上，我国以工业制成品出口为主体，服务贸易出口占比偏低。工业制成品出口中，劳动密集型产品出口占比呈整体下降趋势，资金和技术密集型产品出口占比小幅上升。但是劳动密集型产品出口占比依旧超过40%，危机后占比反而上升。服务贸易产品出口中，传统服务贸易出口依然占据主导地位。在出口市场结构上，新兴市场出口份额增加，但是，对传统主要出口市场仍然保持较高份额。在后危机时代进一步优化出口商品结构，提升产品层次，降低主要市场出口依存度依然是目前和未来外贸出口发展的目标。

关键词：次贷危机 商品结构 产品层次 出口市场

Research on China's export after the sub-prime mortgage crisis

Abstract

China is the world's first trading power and China's exports are closely related with the world market. The sub-prime mortgage crisis had a severe impact on the global market. China’s exports bear the brunt firstly.

Based on recent Chinese export data after the sub-prime crisis, this paper analyzes what situation China’s exports are in. Based the data of industrial products in China and China's service trade exports from 2004 to 2014, this paper makes a comparative analysis of China's export commodity structure. According to the SITC, exports of the interior of the manufacturing industry in China, the export industries and the competitiveness index changes were analyzed before and after the crisis. Studies have shown that: the growth of exports in the current is declining, and the export pressure is increasing. As for export structure, the export of manufactured goods is the main, and proportion of service exports is low. On the manufactured goods exports, labor-intensive exports accounted for an overall downward trend, and capital and technology-intensive product exports accounted for slightly. However, labor-intensive exports still accounted for more than 40%, and the proportion rises after the crisis. Trade in service exports, the traditional trade in service exports is still dominant. As for the export market structure, the share of exports to emerging markets is increasing, however, the traditional major export markets remain relatively high. In the post-crisis era, to further optimize the structure of export commodities, to improve product level and reduce dependence on exports to major markets are still current and future export development targets.

Key words: The sub-prime mortgage crisis; Commodity structure; Product hierarchy; Export market

目 录

摘要 I

ABSTRACT П

第一章 引言 1

1.1 研究背景与研究意义 1

1.1.1 研究背景 1

1.1.2 研究意义 1

1.2 文献梳理与评述 2

1.3 研究内容与研究方法 3

1.3.1 研究内容 3

1.3.2 研究方法 3

第二章 次贷危机后中国外贸出口现状分析 4

2.1 次贷危机后中国出口增长现状分析 4

2.2 次贷危机后中国出口商品结构现状分析 4

2.3 次贷危机后中国出口市场结构现状分析 5

第三章 危机前后中国出口比较分析 7

3.1 危机前后中国出口变化分析 7

3.1.1 2004-2010年外贸顺差变化分析 7

3.1.2 商品出口结构变化分析 7

3.1.3 主要工业制成品TC指数分析 12

3.1.4 出口市场变化分析 13

3.2 中国商品出口结构变动原因分析 14

3.2.1 产业调整带动出口结构调整 14

3.2.2 出口企业状况影响出口结构 15

3.2.3 人民币对外升值对内贬值加重出口难度 15

3.2.4 研发创新提高产品附加值 15

第四章 研究结论与政策建议 17

4.1 研究结论 17

4.2 政策建议 17

参考文献 19

致谢 20

第一章 引言

1.1 研究背景与研究意义

1.1.1 研究背景

请支付后下载全文，论文总字数：21583字