论文总字数：26001字

摘 要

“中巴经济走廊”全长3000公里，是“一带一路”战略中的六大走廊之一，2017年中巴两国共同发表了《中巴经济走廊远景规划》，为中巴进一步深化双边贸易增添了动力。“中巴经济走廊”贯穿南北，拓宽了中国与巴基斯坦的西亚市场与非洲市场，也为沿线国家带来了经济效益。

“中巴经济走廊”可以说是构成中巴经济贸易的重要部分。它作为“一带一路”战略倡议的一部分,已经连接到中国西部的喀什和位于巴基斯坦南部的瓜达尔港。“中巴经济走廊”的南部结束地就是印度洋,这为中国产品出发前往非洲和西亚提供了途径印度洋的选择。中国与巴基斯坦彼此地理位置上相近。两个大国长期以来都奉行着睦邻友善的政策。但是由于当时中巴之间的基础设施建设薄弱,中巴之间良性的政治合作关系没有得到广泛传播。中巴建立全天候战略伙伴关系，具有独特的政治和经济优势。这不仅可以使双边贸易成为中国在西南亚经济新的增长点，而且可以作为扩大与中国之间经贸合作的典范。

研究中巴贸易具有很强的现实意义，中巴间的贸易不仅仅加固了双方的政治互相信任度，并且为中国与巴基斯坦提供了约320万个岗位，加快了两国之间的产业交换速度。本文通过以下五个大方面结合数据进行分析。第一，中巴贸易有着政治交好，商品互补，文化认同等特点。本文列举其优势并论证其积极影响。其次，中巴之间的贸易相对较小，市场结构的不平衡，巴基斯坦出现了巨额赤字和对中国商品出口量不多和种类不够复杂的特征。通过剖析市场问题，找出中巴贸易间市场结构的缺陷，提出合适的解决方法。第三，中国和巴基斯坦商品贸易产品互补，双方无论是贸易形式还是产业结构都具有很强的可挖掘性，双方贸易实力并未完全发挥，而具有明显竞争力的产品很少，中巴贸易完全可以充分利用产品互补性来抵消贸易竞争。通过数据分析来评价中巴间贸易商品结构，进而对中巴间贸易的机遇与挑战做出分析。第四，对中国进出口和巴基斯坦产生重大影响的因素是中国的社会和经济发展水平以及巴基斯坦的外商直接投资。通过对两大因素的分析，提出扩大贸易规模的建议。最后，从国家和企业两个层面，结合“中巴经济走廊”的背景，在研究中巴贸易现状的基础上挖掘深入发展中巴贸易关系的相应对策与建议。为中巴贸易存在的问题提出解决方案。

关键词：中巴经济走廊；双边贸易；现状分析

Research on the current situation of China-Pakistan trade under the background of “China-Pakistan Economic Corridor”

Abstract

One belt, one road, the 3000 largest corridor of the Sino Pakistani economic corridor, is one of the six corridors in the "one belt and one way" strategy. In 2017, China and Pakistani jointly published the "China Pakistani economic corridor Vision Plan", which shows that China Pakistan economic construction has entered a new stage. The "China Pakistan Economic Corridor" runs through the north and south, broadening the West Asian and African markets of China and Pakistan, and bringing economic benefits to the countries along the line.

The "China Pakistan Economic Corridor" can be said to be the core of the development of China Pakistan Relations. As part of one belt, one road initiative, it has been linked to Kashi in Western China and Gwadar Port in southern Pakistan. Its status and role are crucial. The southern end of the "China Pakistan Economic Corridor" is the Indian Ocean, which provides a choice for Chinese products to go to Africa and West Asia via the Indian Ocean. China and Pakistan are geographically close to each other. For a long time, the two great powers have pursued a good neighborly and friendly policy. However, due to the weak infrastructure construction between China and Pakistan at that time, the benign political cooperation between China and Pakistan was not widely spread. The establishment of all-weather strategic partnership between China and Pakistan has unique political and economic advantages. This will not only make bilateral trade a new growth point for China"s economy in southwest Asia, but also serve as a model for expanding economic and trade cooperation with China.

It is of great practical significance to study the trade between China and Pakistan. The trade between China and Pakistan not only strengthens the political mutual trust between the two sides, but also provides about 3.2 million jobs for China and Pakistan, speeding up the industrial exchange between the two countries. This paper analyzes the data from the following five aspects. First, China Pakistan trade has advantages in politics, economy, humanities, geography and transportation. List its advantages and demonstrate its positive impact. Secondly, the trade between China and Pakistan is relatively small, the market structure is unbalanced, Pakistan has a huge deficit and the export volume to China is not much and the types of goods are not complex enough. By analyzing the market problems, this paper finds out the defects of the market structure between China and Pakistan, and puts forward the appropriate solutions. Third, China and Pakistan have obvious complementarity in the trade of various products. The potential trade potential is huge, and there are few products with obvious competitiveness, which shows that the trade complementarity between China and Pakistan is better than the competitiveness. This paper evaluates the commodity structure of trade between China and Pakistan through data analysis, and then analyzes the opportunities and challenges of trade between China and Pakistan. Fourth, the factors that have a significant impact on China"s import and export and Pakistan are China"s social and economic development level and Pakistan"s foreign direct investment. These two factors have a profound impact on the scale of trade between China and Pakistan. Through the analysis of these two factors, this paper puts forward some suggestions to expand the scale of trade. Finally, from the national and enterprise levels, combined with the background of "China Pakistan Economic Corridor", on the basis of studying the current situation of China Pakistan trade, this paper explores the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the further development of China Pakistan trade relations. To propose solutions to the problems existing in the trade between China and Pakistan.

Key words: China Pakistan Economic Corridor；bilateral trade,；current situation analysis

目 录

摘 要 I

Abstract II

第一章 绪 论 1

1.1 选题背景 1

1.1.1 中巴自贸区的建立 1

1.1.2 “中巴经济走廊”的出现 1

1.2 研究意义 1

1.2.1 有助于改变“政治热经济冷”的局面 1

1.2.2 有助于优化两国贸易结构 1

1.2.3 有助于规避地域风险对贸易的影响 2

1.3 论文结构及研究方法 2

1.3.1 论文结构 2

1.3.2 研究方法 2

第二章 文献综述 3

2.1 巴基斯坦方面利益诉求 3

2.2 中国方面利益诉求 3

2.3 “中巴经济走廊”方面 4

第三章 中巴贸易现状分析 5

3.1 中巴贸易发展历程回顾 5

3.2 贸易规模分析 5

3.2.1 规模总量分析 5

3.2.2 同比增长分析 7

3.3 商品结构分析 8

3.3.1 中国出口巴基斯坦商品 8

3.3.2 中国进口巴基斯坦商品 8

3.3.3巴方产品附加值过低 9

3.4 市场结构分析 9

3.4.1 巴基斯坦对外贸易市场结构分析 9

3.4.2 中国对外贸易市场结构分析 10

第四章 “中巴经济走廊”的意义 11

4.1 “中巴经济走廊”建设的基础 11

4.1.1 高度的文明契合 11

4.1.2 深厚的政治友谊 11

4.1.3 中巴贸易存在互补性 11

4.2 “中巴经济走廊”的作用 11

4.2.2 经济方面 11

4.3.1 社会方面 12

第五章 “中巴经济走廊”对中巴贸易的影响 13

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