论文总字数：22365字

摘 要

中国工业化、城市化和市场化的迅速推进使中国各城市及地区的竞争日益激烈，联系日益密切。长江三角洲城市竞争力研究有助于各城市实现合理有序的竞争、充分积极的合作，有助于形成合理的区域经济。本文从长江三角洲地区入手，运用因子分析法对包括了上海，苏州，杭州在内的25个城市进行横向的静态比较，并得出城市竞争力排名。同时选取适当的分析年代，建立合理的动态计量经济学模型，进行动态的测算和分析。

关键词：城市竞争力；多元统计分析；动态分析

Comparative Study on Comprehensive Competitiveness Based on multivariate statistical analysis of cities in the Yangtze River Delta

Abstract

With rapid advance of industrialization, urbanization and marketization in China, cities and regions of the nation are experiencing fiercer competition but closer connection. Researches on competitiveness of cities in the Yangtze River Delta will be helpful to the region in forming healthy competition, active cooperation and vigorous economic development. This thesis adopts factor analysis to conduct lateral static comparison among the 25 cities in the Yangtze River Delta including Shanghai, Suzhou and Hangzhou and concludes the urban competitiveness rankings. It selects specific ages and establishes dynamic econometrics models to do calculation and analysis.

Key word: city competitiveness, multivariate statistical analysis, dynamic analysis

目 录

摘 要…..........................................................................................Ⅰ

Abstract…………………………………………………….......…Ⅰ

第一章 引言……..............................................................................1

1.1 研究目的及意义……...………………………………………………….......1

1.2 国内外研究现状……...…………………………………………………… ..1

1.3 本文的研究方法........................................................................................... ..3

第二章 长江三角洲城市竞争力评价指标体系构成……..................4

2.1 城市竞争力指标体系建立的原则..................................................................4

2.2 城市竞争力指标体系的选择..........................................................................5

第三章 基于因子分析的城市竞争力实证分析….....................…...…7

3.1 因子分析方法的基本原理..............................................................................7

3.2 数据处理和分析..............................................................................................8

3.3 确定公共因子和载荷矩阵..............................................................................8

3.4城市竞争力的主因子得分及综合得分.........................................................12

第四章 基于聚类分析的城市竞争力实证分析……..........................14

4.1 聚类分析方法的基本原理............................................................................14

4.2 分类结果........................................................................................................15

第五章 动态分析……..........................................................................18

5.1 动态分析的背景............................................................................................18

5.2 动态分析的基本思路....................................................................................18

5.3 构建城市竞争力变化的计量模型................................................................19

5.4 比较各年长江三角洲地区各城市竞争力....................................................21

第六章 结论与建议……..................................................................…24

6.1主要结论.........................................................................................................24

6.2提升经济区域的综合竞争力具体建议与政策.............................................25参考文献……..................................................................................26

致谢……..........................................................................................27

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